A Look at the Past and a Look at the Future

December 30, 2009 · Dean Rizzi · 1 Comment

This time last year we predicted that 2009 would end a lot better than it began. We were right, though it wasn’t a great accomplishment to be right considering how low the housing market, stock market, and overall economy had sunk during the latter half of 2008. As we’ve stated repeatedly over the past year, a low base and a dour outlook provide an excellent buying opportunity, so we weren’t surprised when buyers stepped forward to exploit the opportunities.

Looking ahead to 2010, we see continued improvement in home sales and home prices. In fact, we wouldn’t be surprised if the market turns to a sellers’ market from a buyers’ market by year’s end. We are almost certain that will be the case if we see a two to three percentage point drop in the unemployment rate. Low mortgage rates and income tax credits are contributing factors in stabilizing the market, to be sure, but no factor is more important than employment in not only maintaining stability but stimulating activity. Read more

Happy New Year?

December 28, 2009 · Jean Joh · 1 Comment

As we approach the end of 2009, things seem to be looking more promising in terms of the real estate industry. The California Association of Realtors just released a report with the following “Quick Facts”:

* Existing, single-family home sales increased 4.7 percent in November to a seasonally adjusted rate of 536,720 units on an annualized basis.
* The statewide median price of an existing single-family home increased 2.4 percent in November to $304,520 compared with October 2009.
* C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index fell to 4.5 months in November, compared with 7.1 months in November 2008.

According to the C.A.R.’s President Steve Goddard: “First-time buyers continued to drive the market in November, as many opened escrow to take advantage of the federal tax credit prior to its original Nov. 30 expiration. The extension and expansion of the tax credit until April 30, 2010, along with low interest rates, should continue to positively impact the market in coming months. Read more

It’s Working and Working Well!!!

December 27, 2009 · Lee Ginsburg · 1 Comment

You might ask, what is working and working well. I am speaking about the $8000 Home Buying Credit. A recent home buyer brought up the $8000 credit and told me that was the motivating factor for him and his wife purchasing a home. The termination date creates urgency and action. Low prices are motivating but not the cause of action. Many think they can time the market. Good Luck to them. People in the business think the lowest interest rates in 40 years should be creating urgency. It certainly makes people think but low rates is all many of these young first time buyers know. I purchased a home in 1982 at 14% interest and that was considered good. Today’s 5% and below interest rates are like the “After Christmas Sale”. But still does not create the urgency since many believe it will last forever.

The $8000 federal tax credit was extended and now sounds like it will really terminate April 30, 2010. Now that creates urgency! OK; the credit created a home sale and that helps stabilize pricing. Let’s not forget all the mouths a home sale feeds: the realtor, mortgage broker, title people, escrow company, termite inspector, home inspector, city tax coffers, and more. Now let me show you all the mouths my client fed by spending his credit on: landscaping, painting, double pane windows, window coverings, furniture and more. Others may remodel a kitchen or bath, carpet, appliances, roof, etc. My client purchased the home from a flipper who must have put $50,000 into the home. Add that up, and the $8000 quickly turns into over $100,000 of added income to local people. That feeds lots of mouths. Being employed in Real Estate and related fields, as Americans and Smart business people we should be ecstatic. I know I am. I am a believer. Read more

Are We There Yet?

December 15, 2009 · Dean Rizzi · 1 Comment

We cannot say for sure, but we think we are darn close. Of course, we are speaking of the bottom in mortgage rates. Last week we explained how the Federal Reserve has influenced the market with its massive purchases of mortgage-backed securities. This week we offer statistical support for our contention that rates are at least close to bottoming, if not likely to reverse soon.
Calculated Risk, an insightful Web site that tracks the comings and goings of the housing and mortgage markets, supplied the evidence. Calculated Risk has noted (as have we) the close relationship between the 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note. Based on statistical analysis reprinted on Calculated Risk’s Web site, the 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage is expected to rise to 5.4% based on the current 10-year Treasury yield of 3.45%.

www.deanrizzi.com

I Earned that Deal…BUT!

December 7, 2009 · Julie Cleland · 3 Comments

Another Realtor(r) walked away with a check. Please understand this rant is not directed at clients who’s transactions do not work out despite the best intentions. There are times when as a Realtor you spend a great deal of energy and effort and then, for a variety of reasons, it just doesn’t happen. No, readers, this is the story of being the Starter Realtor.

My tale started when I began working with clients who had a very set idea about what they were looking for. They were pre-approved Read more

Brisbane’s Festival of the Stars!

December 5, 2009 · Kathy Wall · 2 Comments

Photo courtesy of Lee Panza

On Sunday, December 6th @ 5:30 p.m. there will be a wonderful event happening in the adorable little town of Brisbane, CA. It is called “Festival of the Stars”, and is called that because Brisbane is famous for the lit up stars that most citizens have on their homes. Although many people start lighting them at the very beginning of December, this evening is the official night when everyone turns them on. It is quite a sight and can be seen all the way from Highway 101. The stars, both large and small, are provided free to anyone who lives in town…all they need to do is add the lights. Read more